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Walsall
Salford City
League TwoLeague
WalsallVSUpcoming
Salford City26 Oct 2026, 20:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:41
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
80%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 17 Oct 2026, 18:14
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
WSL
1.25
SAL
1.71
Recent form adjustment
WSL1.01×
SAL1.04×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.25
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.71
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.49/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.25/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.31/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.25/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.50 / 1.00 (126 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.04
- Sample size
- 51 home games, 53 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff26 Oct 2026, 20:00
- Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 18:14
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:41