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Olympiacos F.C.
Kalamata
Super LeagueLeague
Olympiacos F.C.VSUpcoming
Kalamata25 Oct 2026, 14:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:45
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
73%
MEDIUM confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 17 Oct 2026, 18:14
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
OLY
1.67
KAL
0.90
Recent form adjustment
OLY1.01×
KAL1.01×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.67
- Away expected goals (model)
- 0.90
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.74/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.47/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.13/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 0.79/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.55 / 1.00 (43 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Sample size
- 19 home games, 3 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 14:00
- Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 18:14
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:45