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Viktoria Plzeň
Pardubice
Chance LigaLeague
Viktoria PlzeňVSUpcoming
Pardubice25 Oct 2026, 17:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:45
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
87%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 17 Oct 2026, 18:14
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
VPL
2.87
PAR
0.68
Recent form adjustment
VPL1.02×
PAR1.02×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 2.87
- Away expected goals (model)
- 0.68
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 2.11/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.86/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 0.70/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.06/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.40 / 1.11 (53 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.02
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.02
- Sample size
- 21 home games, 23 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 17:00
- Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 18:14
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:45