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HJK
KuPS
VeikkausliigaLeague
HJKVSUpcoming
KuPS25 Oct 2026, 13:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:45
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
78%
MEDIUM confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 17 Oct 2026, 18:14
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
HJK.
1.99
KUPS
0.88
Recent form adjustment
HJK.1.08×
KUPS0.99×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.99
- Away expected goals (model)
- 0.88
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 2.28/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.05/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 0.89/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.00/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.30 / 1.00 (44 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.08
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.99
- Sample size
- 4 home games, 4 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 13:00
- Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 18:14
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:45