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Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
2. BundesligaLeague
Holstein KielVSUpcoming
Dynamo Dresden25 Oct 2026, 12:30Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:45
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
91%
HIGH confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 17 Oct 2026, 18:14
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
HKI
1.69
DRE
2.37
Recent form adjustment
HKI0.99×
DRE0.98×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.69
- Away expected goals (model)
- 2.37
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.43/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 2.09/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.58/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 2.03/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.75 / 1.33 (50 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.99
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.98
- Sample size
- 20 home games, 3 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 12:30
- Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 18:14
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:45