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2. BundesligaLeague
Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig
VSUpcoming
Hannover 96Hannover 96
25 Oct 2026, 12:30Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:45

AI recommendation

Over 1.5

69%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1

Generated 17 Oct 2026, 18:14

Why this prediction

Recent form adjustment

EBR0.98×
HAN0.98×
Home expected goals (model)
1.14
Away expected goals (model)
1.24
Home team scoring rate at home
1.47/game
Away team conceding rate away
1.39/game
Away team scoring rate away
1.07/game
Home team conceding rate at home
1.59/game
League baseline (home/away goals per game)
1.75 / 1.33 (50 games)
Home recent form adjustment
x0.98
Away recent form adjustment
x0.98
Sample size
20 home games, 20 away games

Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.

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Reliability

Live performance, this market

Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610

Confidence-band reliability

This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
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Timeline

  1. Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 12:30
  2. Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 18:14
  3. Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:45