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Osnabrück
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2. BundesligaLeague
OsnabrückVSUpcoming
SpVgg Greuther Fürth25 Oct 2026, 12:30Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:45
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
82%
HIGH confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 17 Oct 2026, 18:14
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
OSN
1.72
GRF
1.40
Recent form adjustment
OSN1.00×
GRF1.01×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.72
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.40
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.72/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.75/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.27/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.46/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.75 / 1.33 (50 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.00
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Sample size
- 3 home games, 20 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 12:30
- Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 18:14
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:45