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Hradec Králové
Jablonec
Chance LigaLeague
Hradec KrálovéVSUpcoming
Jablonec25 Oct 2026, 12:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:45
AI recommendation
Under 2.5
65%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 17 Oct 2026, 18:14
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
HRK
1.05
JAB
1.04
Recent form adjustment
HRK0.98×
JAB1.01×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.05
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.04
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.18/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.26/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.17/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 0.98/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.40 / 1.11 (53 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.98
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Sample size
- 22 home games, 22 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy42%
Settled predictions1571
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 12:00
- Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 18:14
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:45