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FC Midtjylland
Lyngby Boldklub
SuperligaLeague
FC MidtjyllandVSUpcoming
Lyngby Boldklub25 Oct 2026, 13:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:43
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
80%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 17 Oct 2026, 18:13
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
FCM
2.26
LBB
0.73
Recent form adjustment
FCM1.03×
LBB0.95×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 2.26
- Away expected goals (model)
- 0.73
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 2.16/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.58/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 0.91/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.16/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.55 / 1.38 (55 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.03
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.95
- Sample size
- 32 home games, 31 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 13:00
- Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 18:13
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:43