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HibernianHibernian
VSUpcoming
CelticCeltic
25 Oct 2026, 12:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:43

AI recommendation

Over 1.5

88%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1

Generated 17 Oct 2026, 18:13

Why this prediction

Recent form adjustment

HIB0.97×
CEL1.03×
Home expected goals (model)
1.22
Away expected goals (model)
2.41
Home team scoring rate at home
1.82/game
Away team conceding rate away
0.92/game
Away team scoring rate away
2.40/game
Home team conceding rate at home
1.27/game
League baseline (home/away goals per game)
1.34 / 1.31 (52 games)
Home recent form adjustment
x0.97
Away recent form adjustment
x1.03
Sample size
41 home games, 39 away games

Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.

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Reliability

Live performance, this market

Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
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Timeline

  1. Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 12:00
  2. Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 18:13
  3. Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:43
    Hibernian v Celtic — Mr Footy Acca