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Molde
Fredrikstad
EliteserienLeague
MoldeVSUpcoming
Fredrikstad25 Oct 2026, 18:15Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:43
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
80%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 17 Oct 2026, 18:13
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
MOL
2.03
FFK
0.98
Recent form adjustment
MOL1.03×
FFK1.01×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 2.03
- Away expected goals (model)
- 0.98
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 2.21/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.62/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.02/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.30/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.80 / 1.36 (178 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.03
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Sample size
- 34 home games, 34 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 18:15
- Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 18:13
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:43