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Sarpsborg 08
Aalesund
EliteserienLeague
Sarpsborg 08VSUpcoming
Aalesund25 Oct 2026, 16:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:43
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
81%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 17 Oct 2026, 18:13
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
SA08
1.58
AFK
1.51
Recent form adjustment
SA081.00×
AFK1.02×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.58
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.51
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.51/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.88/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.36/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.48/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.80 / 1.36 (178 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.00
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.02
- Sample size
- 34 home games, 11 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 16:00
- Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 18:13
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:43