Sporting CP v Academico Viseu — Mr Footy Acca

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Sporting CP

Sporting CP

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Academico Viseu

Academico Viseu

25 Oct 2026, 20:30Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:42

AI recommendation

Over 1.5

84%

HIGH confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1

Generated 17 Oct 2026, 14:50

Why this prediction

Expected goals (model)

SCP

2.32

AVFC

0.95

Recent form adjustment

SCP1.04×

AVFC1.02×

Home expected goals (model): 2.32
Away expected goals (model): 0.95
Home team scoring rate at home: 2.50/game
Away team conceding rate away: 1.18/game
Away team scoring rate away: 1.57/game
Home team conceding rate at home: 0.84/game
League baseline (home/away goals per game): 1.32 / 1.43 (70 games)
Home recent form adjustment: x1.04
Away recent form adjustment: x1.02
Sample size: 38 home games, 4 away games

Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.

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Reliability

Live performance, this market

Accuracy79%

Settled predictions1610

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Timeline

Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 20:30
Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 14:50
Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:42

Sporting CP v Academico Viseu — Mr Footy Acca