Paris Saint Germain v Olympique Lyonnais — Mr Footy Acca

MR FOOTY ACCA

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Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

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Olympique Lyonnais

Olympique Lyonnais

25 Oct 2026, 19:45Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:42

AI recommendation

Over 1.5

82%

HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1

Generated 17 Oct 2026, 14:50

Why this prediction

Expected goals (model)

PSG

2.06

LYO

1.10

Recent form adjustment

PSG1.03×

LYO1.03×

Home expected goals (model): 2.06
Away expected goals (model): 1.10
Home team scoring rate at home: 2.38/game
Away team conceding rate away: 1.36/game
Away team scoring rate away: 1.44/game
Home team conceding rate at home: 0.94/game
League baseline (home/away goals per game): 1.62 / 1.26 (55 games)
Home recent form adjustment: x1.03
Away recent form adjustment: x1.03
Sample size: 37 home games, 37 away games

Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.

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Reliability

Live performance, this market

Accuracy79%

Settled predictions1610

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Timeline

Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 19:45
Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 14:50
Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:42

Paris Saint Germain v Olympique Lyonnais — Mr Footy Acca