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Lecce
Juventus
Serie ALeague
LecceVSUpcoming
Juventus25 Oct 2026, 17:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:42
AI recommendation
BTTS — No
No
66%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 17 Oct 2026, 14:50
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
LEC
0.55
JUV
1.60
Recent form adjustment
LEC0.96×
JUV1.02×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 0.55
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.60
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 0.82/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.08/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.38/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.51/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.54 / 1.33 (60 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.96
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.02
- Sample size
- 41 home games, 41 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy43%
Settled predictions1605
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 17:00
- Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 14:50
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:42