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Olympique Marseille
Le Havre Generate an Acca
Ligue 1League
Olympique MarseilleVSUpcoming
Le Havre25 Oct 2026, 16:15Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:42
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
86%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 17 Oct 2026, 14:49
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
OM
2.35
LEH
1.11
Recent form adjustment
OM1.00×
LEH0.98×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 2.35
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.11
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 2.31/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.64/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.10/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.29/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.62 / 1.26 (55 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.00
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.98
- Sample size
- 37 home games, 37 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 16:15
- Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 14:49
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:42