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Inter
Fiorentina
Serie ALeague
InterVSUpcoming
Fiorentina25 Oct 2026, 11:30Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:42
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
85%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 17 Oct 2026, 14:49
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
INT
2.31
FIO
1.04
Recent form adjustment
INT1.05×
FIO0.99×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 2.31
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.04
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 2.40/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.42/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.33/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.06/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.54 / 1.33 (60 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.05
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.99
- Sample size
- 42 home games, 40 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 11:30
- Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 14:49
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:42