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Celta de Vigo
Real Betis
La LigaLeague
Celta de VigoVSUpcoming
Real Betis25 Oct 2026, 15:15Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:42
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
78%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 17 Oct 2026, 14:49
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
CEL
1.51
BET
1.34
Recent form adjustment
CEL1.03×
BET1.03×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.51
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.34
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.63/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.57/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.33/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.29/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.75 / 1.33 (77 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.03
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.03
- Sample size
- 42 home games, 42 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 15:15
- Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 14:49
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:42