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TSG Hoffenheim
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
BundesligaLeague
TSG HoffenheimVSUpcoming
Bayer 04 Leverkusen25 Oct 2026, 14:30Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:42
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
89%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 17 Oct 2026, 14:49
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
TSG
1.32
B04
2.43
Recent form adjustment
TSG0.97×
B041.04×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.32
- Away expected goals (model)
- 2.43
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.83/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.62/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.93/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.69/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 2.18 / 1.39 (46 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.97
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.04
- Sample size
- 37 home games, 37 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 14:30
- Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 14:49
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:42