NEC v FC Groningen — Mr Footy Acca

MR FOOTY ACCA

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NEC

NEC

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FC Groningen

FC Groningen

25 Oct 2026, 13:30Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:40

AI recommendation

Over 1.5

86%

HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1

Generated 16 Oct 2026, 22:09

Why this prediction

Expected goals (model)

NEC

2.41

Groningen

1.08

Recent form adjustment

NEC0.98×

Groningen1.05×

Home expected goals (model): 2.41
Away expected goals (model): 1.08
Home team scoring rate at home: 1.97/game
Away team conceding rate away: 2.14/game
Away team scoring rate away: 1.29/game
Home team conceding rate at home: 1.52/game
League baseline (home/away goals per game): 1.71 / 1.90 (73 games)
Home recent form adjustment: x0.98
Away recent form adjustment: x1.05
Sample size: 38 home games, 21 away games

Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.

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Reliability

Live performance, this market

Accuracy79%

Settled predictions1610

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Timeline

Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 13:30
Prediction generated16 Oct 2026, 22:09
Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:40

NEC v FC Groningen — Mr Footy Acca