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Hull City AFC
Brentford FC
Premier LeagueLeague
Hull City AFCVSUpcoming
Brentford FC25 Oct 2026, 14:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:40
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
64%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 16 Oct 2026, 22:08
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
Hull City
0.88
Brentford
1.31
Recent form adjustment
Hull City1.00×
Brentford1.03×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 0.88
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.31
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.11/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.23/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.38/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.19/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.56 / 1.29 (58 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.00
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.03
- Sample size
- 49 home games, 41 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 14:00
- Prediction generated16 Oct 2026, 22:08
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:40