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Liverpool FC
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Premier LeagueLeague
Liverpool FCVSUpcoming
Brighton & Hove Albion FC25 Oct 2026, 14:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:40
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
88%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 16 Oct 2026, 22:08
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
Liverpool
2.24
Brighton Hove
1.42
Recent form adjustment
Liverpool1.02×
Brighton Hove1.07×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 2.24
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.42
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 2.03/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.69/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.92/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 0.89/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.56 / 1.29 (58 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.02
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.07
- Sample size
- 47 home games, 41 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 14:00
- Prediction generated16 Oct 2026, 22:08
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:40