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AEK Athens
Panaitolikos
Super LeagueLeague
AEK AthensVSUpcoming
Panaitolikos24 Oct 2026, 18:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:45
AI recommendation
BTTS — No
No
67%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 16 Oct 2026, 22:08
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
AEK
1.53
PAN
0.55
Recent form adjustment
AEK1.06×
PAN0.97×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.53
- Away expected goals (model)
- 0.55
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 2.12/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.07/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 0.85/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 0.68/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.58 / 1.02 (42 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.06
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.97
- Sample size
- 20 home games, 21 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy43%
Settled predictions1605
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 18:00
- Prediction generated16 Oct 2026, 22:08
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:45