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Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos
Super LeagueLeague
Asteras TripolisVSUpcoming
Levadiakos24 Oct 2026, 17:30Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:45
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
65%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 16 Oct 2026, 22:08
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
AST
0.92
LEV
1.31
Recent form adjustment
AST0.99×
LEV0.96×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 0.92
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.31
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.12/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.30/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.16/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.20/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.58 / 1.02 (42 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.99
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.96
- Sample size
- 20 home games, 21 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 17:30
- Prediction generated16 Oct 2026, 22:08
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:45