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2. BundesligaLeague
NürnbergNürnberg
VSUpcoming
KaiserslauternKaiserslautern
24 Oct 2026, 19:30Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:45

AI recommendation

Over 1.5

87%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1

Generated 16 Oct 2026, 18:31

Why this prediction

Recent form adjustment

NUR1.03×
FCK1.00×
Home expected goals (model)
2.05
Away expected goals (model)
1.48
Home team scoring rate at home
1.95/game
Away team conceding rate away
1.80/game
Away team scoring rate away
1.27/game
Home team conceding rate at home
1.64/game
League baseline (home/away goals per game)
1.76 / 1.42 (45 games)
Home recent form adjustment
x1.03
Away recent form adjustment
x1.00
Sample size
20 home games, 21 away games

Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.

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Reliability

Live performance, this market

Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
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Timeline

  1. Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 19:30
  2. Prediction generated16 Oct 2026, 18:31
  3. Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:45
    Nürnberg v Kaiserslautern — Mr Footy Acca