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Zlín
Sigma Olomouc
Chance LigaLeague
ZlínVSUpcoming
Sigma Olomouc24 Oct 2026, 14:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:45
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
68%
MEDIUM confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 14 Oct 2026, 23:24
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
FCZ
0.88
SIG
1.48
Recent form adjustment
FCZ0.97×
SIG1.00×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 0.88
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.48
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.00/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.26/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.22/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.43/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.40 / 1.17 (50 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.97
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.00
- Sample size
- 4 home games, 22 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 14:00
- Prediction generated14 Oct 2026, 23:24
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:45