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Slovan Liberec
Baník Ostrava
Chance LigaLeague
Slovan LiberecVSUpcoming
Baník Ostrava24 Oct 2026, 14:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:45
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
72%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 14 Oct 2026, 23:24
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
SLO
1.53
OVA
1.00
Recent form adjustment
SLO1.01×
OVA0.96×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.53
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.00
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.50/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.41/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.22/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 0.99/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.40 / 1.17 (50 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.96
- Sample size
- 19 home games, 22 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 14:00
- Prediction generated14 Oct 2026, 23:24
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:45