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VPS
Inter Turku
VeikkausliigaLeague
VPSVSUpcoming
Inter Turku24 Oct 2026, 12:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:45
AI recommendation
Under 2.5
65%
MEDIUM confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 14 Oct 2026, 23:24
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
VPS
1.04
INT
1.06
Recent form adjustment
VPS0.95×
INT1.02×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.04
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.06
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.30/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 0.98/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 0.81/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.31/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.16 / 1.02 (39 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.95
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.02
- Sample size
- 18 home games, 5 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy42%
Settled predictions1571
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 12:00
- Prediction generated14 Oct 2026, 23:24
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:45