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2. BundesligaLeague
MagdeburgMagdeburg
VSUpcoming
Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC
24 Oct 2026, 12:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:45

AI recommendation

Over 1.5

83%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1

Generated 14 Oct 2026, 23:24

Why this prediction

Recent form adjustment

MAG1.05×
KSC0.95×
Home expected goals (model)
1.87
Away expected goals (model)
1.37
Home team scoring rate at home
1.72/game
Away team conceding rate away
1.83/game
Away team scoring rate away
1.46/game
Home team conceding rate at home
1.39/game
League baseline (home/away goals per game)
1.76 / 1.42 (45 games)
Home recent form adjustment
x1.05
Away recent form adjustment
x0.95
Sample size
21 home games, 19 away games

Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.

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Reliability

Live performance, this market

Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
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Timeline

  1. Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 12:00
  2. Prediction generated14 Oct 2026, 23:24
  3. Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:45
    Magdeburg v Karlsruher SC — Mr Footy Acca