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Osijek
Rudeš
1. HNLLeague
OsijekVSUpcoming
Rudeš25 Oct 2026, 17:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:45
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
78%
MEDIUM confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 14 Oct 2026, 23:24
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
OSI
1.57
RUD
1.29
Recent form adjustment
OSI0.98×
RUD0.98×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.57
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.29
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.55/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.91/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.19/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.21/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.85 / 1.10 (30 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.98
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.98
- Sample size
- 21 home games, 3 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff25 Oct 2026, 17:00
- Prediction generated14 Oct 2026, 23:24
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:45