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1. HNLLeague
VaraždinVaraždin
VSUpcoming
Slaven KoprivnicaSlaven Koprivnica
24 Oct 2026, 17:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:45

AI recommendation

Under 2.5

81%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1

Generated 14 Oct 2026, 19:42

Why this prediction

Recent form adjustment

NKV1.01×
SLB1.02×
Home expected goals (model)
0.93
Away expected goals (model)
0.56
Home team scoring rate at home
1.13/game
Away team conceding rate away
1.51/game
Away team scoring rate away
0.98/game
Home team conceding rate at home
0.62/game
League baseline (home/away goals per game)
1.85 / 1.10 (30 games)
Home recent form adjustment
x1.01
Away recent form adjustment
x1.02
Sample size
20 home games, 21 away games

Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.

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Reliability

Live performance, this market

Accuracy42%
Settled predictions1571
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Timeline

  1. Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 17:00
  2. Prediction generated14 Oct 2026, 19:42
  3. Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:45