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Ebbsfleet United
Maidenhead United
Enterprise National League SouthLeague
Ebbsfleet UnitedVSUpcoming
Maidenhead United24 Oct 2026, 15:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:44
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
71%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:12
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
EBB
1.13
MHU
1.34
Recent form adjustment
EBB1.07×
MHU1.01×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.13
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.34
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.00/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.47/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.26/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.54/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.38 / 1.46 (107 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.07
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Sample size
- 27 home games, 27 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 15:00
- Prediction generated14 Oct 2026, 00:12
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:44