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Folkestone Invicta
Farnborough
Enterprise National League SouthLeague
Folkestone InvictaVSUpcoming
Farnborough24 Oct 2026, 15:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:44
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
77%
MEDIUM confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:12
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
FOL
1.67
FFC
1.11
Recent form adjustment
FOL0.98×
FFC0.94×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.67
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.11
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.32/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.79/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.37/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.26/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.38 / 1.46 (107 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.98
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.94
- Sample size
- 4 home games, 28 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 15:00
- Prediction generated14 Oct 2026, 00:12
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:44