Back to Matches
Hampton & Richmond
Truro City
Enterprise National League SouthLeague
Hampton & RichmondVSUpcoming
Truro City24 Oct 2026, 15:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:44
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
79%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:12
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
H&R
1.08
TRU
1.83
Recent form adjustment
H&R0.97×
TRU1.01×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.08
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.83
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.54/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.00/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.52/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.74/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.38 / 1.46 (107 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.97
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Sample size
- 28 home games, 28 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 15:00
- Prediction generated14 Oct 2026, 00:12
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:44