Hemel Hempstead Town v AFC Totton — Mr Footy Acca

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Hemel Hempstead Town

Hemel Hempstead Town

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AFC Totton

AFC Totton

24 Oct 2026, 15:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:44

AI recommendation

Over 1.5

89%

HIGH confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1

Generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:12

Why this prediction

Expected goals (model)

HHT

2.63

AFC

1.18

Recent form adjustment

HHT1.01×

AFC0.93×

Home expected goals (model): 2.63
Away expected goals (model): 1.18
Home team scoring rate at home: 1.81/game
Away team conceding rate away: 1.99/game
Away team scoring rate away: 1.03/game
Home team conceding rate at home: 1.79/game
League baseline (home/away goals per game): 1.38 / 1.46 (107 games)
Home recent form adjustment: x1.01
Away recent form adjustment: x0.93
Sample size: 27 home games, 4 away games

Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.

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Reliability

Live performance, this market

Accuracy79%

Settled predictions1610

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Timeline

Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 15:00
Prediction generated14 Oct 2026, 00:12
Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:44

Hemel Hempstead Town v AFC Totton — Mr Footy Acca