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Horsham
Walton & Hersham
Enterprise National League SouthLeague
HorshamVSUpcoming
Walton & Hersham24 Oct 2026, 15:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:44
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
79%
MEDIUM confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:12
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
HOR
1.45
WAL
1.50
Recent form adjustment
HOR0.97×
WAL1.01×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.45
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.50
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.29/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.59/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.33/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.63/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.38 / 1.46 (107 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.97
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Sample size
- 5 home games, 5 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 15:00
- Prediction generated14 Oct 2026, 00:12
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:44