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Torquay United
Maidstone United
Enterprise National League SouthLeague
Torquay UnitedVSUpcoming
Maidstone United24 Oct 2026, 15:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:44
AI recommendation
Under 2.5
65%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:12
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
TRU
1.10
MDU
1.01
Recent form adjustment
TRU1.03×
MDU1.01×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.10
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.01
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.67/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 0.89/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.54/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 0.95/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.38 / 1.46 (107 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.03
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Sample size
- 29 home games, 31 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy42%
Settled predictions1571
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 15:00
- Prediction generated14 Oct 2026, 00:12
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:44