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Forest Green Rovers
Enterprise National LeagueLeague
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Forest Green Rovers24 Oct 2026, 15:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:44
AI recommendation
Under 2.5
64%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 12 Oct 2026, 20:31
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
BRW
0.99
FGR
1.16
Recent form adjustment
BRW1.04×
FGR0.98×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 0.99
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.16
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.26/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.29/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.39/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.18/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.70 / 1.38 (131 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.04
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.98
- Sample size
- 51 home games, 28 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy42%
Settled predictions1571
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 15:00
- Prediction generated12 Oct 2026, 20:31
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:44