Chorley v Buxton — Mr Footy Acca

MR FOOTY ACCA

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Enterprise National League NorthLeague

Chorley

Chorley

VSUpcoming

Buxton

Buxton

24 Oct 2026, 15:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:44

AI recommendation

Over 1.5

80%

HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1

Generated 12 Oct 2026, 20:31

Why this prediction

Expected goals (model)

CHO

1.85

BUX

1.17

Recent form adjustment

CHO1.01×

BUX0.99×

Home expected goals (model): 1.85
Away expected goals (model): 1.17
Home team scoring rate at home: 2.07/game
Away team conceding rate away: 1.48/game
Away team scoring rate away: 1.49/game
Home team conceding rate at home: 0.90/game
League baseline (home/away goals per game): 1.67 / 1.14 (108 games)
Home recent form adjustment: x1.01
Away recent form adjustment: x0.99
Sample size: 29 home games, 29 away games

Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.

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Reliability

Live performance, this market

Accuracy79%

Settled predictions1610

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Timeline

Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 15:00
Prediction generated12 Oct 2026, 20:31
Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:44

Chorley v Buxton — Mr Footy Acca