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King's Lynn Town
Southport
Enterprise National League NorthLeague
King's Lynn TownVSUpcoming
Southport24 Oct 2026, 15:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:44
AI recommendation
Under 2.5
66%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 11 Oct 2026, 23:24
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
KLT
1.36
SOU
0.72
Recent form adjustment
KLT1.06×
SOU0.98×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.36
- Away expected goals (model)
- 0.72
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.37/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.56/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 0.75/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.11/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.67 / 1.14 (108 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.06
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.98
- Sample size
- 28 home games, 28 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy42%
Settled predictions1571
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 15:00
- Prediction generated11 Oct 2026, 23:24
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:44