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Falkirk
Kilmarnock
PremiershipLeague
FalkirkVSUpcoming
Kilmarnock24 Oct 2026, 15:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:43
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
82%
HIGH confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 11 Oct 2026, 19:34
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
FAL
1.95
KIL
1.15
Recent form adjustment
FAL0.99×
KIL0.98×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.95
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.15
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.16/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 2.19/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.01/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.50/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.29 / 1.29 (48 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.99
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.98
- Sample size
- 4 home games, 40 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 15:00
- Prediction generated11 Oct 2026, 19:34
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:43