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St. Mirren
Dundee
PremiershipLeague
St. MirrenVSUpcoming
Dundee24 Oct 2026, 15:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:43
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
84%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 11 Oct 2026, 19:34
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
STM
1.97
DUD
1.31
Recent form adjustment
STM0.93×
DUD1.01×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.97
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.31
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.44/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.90/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.19/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.40/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.29 / 1.29 (48 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.93
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Sample size
- 41 home games, 39 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 15:00
- Prediction generated11 Oct 2026, 19:34
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:43