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Hartberg
Wolfsberger AC
Admiral BundesligaLeague
HartbergVSUpcoming
Wolfsberger AC24 Oct 2026, 16:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:43
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
78%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 11 Oct 2026, 19:34
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
HTB
1.26
WAC
1.60
Recent form adjustment
HTB1.01×
WAC0.93×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.26
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.60
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.40/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.57/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.41/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.50/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.76 / 1.22 (48 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.93
- Sample size
- 37 home games, 37 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 16:00
- Prediction generated11 Oct 2026, 19:34
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:43