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WSG Tirol
Grazer AK
Admiral BundesligaLeague
WSG TirolVSUpcoming
Grazer AK24 Oct 2026, 16:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:43
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
73%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 11 Oct 2026, 19:34
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
WSG
1.37
GAK
1.20
Recent form adjustment
WSG0.98×
GAK0.99×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.37
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.20
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.31/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.87/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.03/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.44/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.76 / 1.22 (48 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.98
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.99
- Sample size
- 36 home games, 36 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 16:00
- Prediction generated11 Oct 2026, 19:34
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:43