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La LouvièreLa Louvière
VSUpcoming
Zulte-WaregemZulte-Waregem
24 Oct 2026, 19:45Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:42

AI recommendation

Over 1.5

69%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1

Generated 11 Oct 2026, 19:34

Why this prediction

Recent form adjustment

RAAL0.96×
ZUL0.97×
Home expected goals (model)
1.11
Away expected goals (model)
1.30
Home team scoring rate at home
1.15/game
Away team conceding rate away
1.63/game
Away team scoring rate away
1.35/game
Home team conceding rate at home
1.28/game
League baseline (home/away goals per game)
1.61 / 1.29 (70 games)
Home recent form adjustment
x0.96
Away recent form adjustment
x0.97
Sample size
22 home games, 22 away games

Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.

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Reliability

Live performance, this market

Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610

Confidence-band reliability

This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
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Timeline

  1. Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 19:45
  2. Prediction generated11 Oct 2026, 19:34
  3. Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:42