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OH Leuven
Lommel SK
Pro LeagueLeague
OH LeuvenVSUpcoming
Lommel SK24 Oct 2026, 17:15Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:42
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
69%
MEDIUM confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 11 Oct 2026, 14:14
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
OHL
1.23
LSK
1.17
Recent form adjustment
OHL0.99×
LSK0.99×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.23
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.17
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.21/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.69/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.27/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.19/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.64 / 1.29 (68 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.99
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.99
- Sample size
- 44 home games, 4 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 17:15
- Prediction generated11 Oct 2026, 14:14
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:42