Back to Matches
Antwerp
Sporting Charleroi
Pro LeagueLeague
AntwerpVSUpcoming
Sporting Charleroi24 Oct 2026, 15:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:42
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
73%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 11 Oct 2026, 14:14
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
ANT
1.15
SPC
1.46
Recent form adjustment
ANT0.95×
SPC1.03×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.15
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.46
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.53/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.30/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.22/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.51/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.64 / 1.29 (68 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.95
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.03
- Sample size
- 43 home games, 43 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 15:00
- Prediction generated11 Oct 2026, 14:14
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:42