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Atlético de Madrid
Deportivo A Coruña
La LigaLeague
Atlético de MadridVSUpcoming
Deportivo A Coruña24 Oct 2026, 20:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:42
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
85%
HIGH confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 11 Oct 2026, 19:33
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
ATM
2.36
COR
1.05
Recent form adjustment
ATM1.05×
COR0.99×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 2.36
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.05
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 2.12/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.81/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.56/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 0.88/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.70 / 1.30 (73 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.05
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.99
- Sample size
- 42 home games, 3 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 20:00
- Prediction generated11 Oct 2026, 19:33
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:42