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Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt
BundesligaLeague
Borussia DortmundVSUpcoming
Eintracht Frankfurt24 Oct 2026, 17:30Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:42
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
86%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 11 Oct 2026, 14:14
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
BVB
2.26
SGE
1.19
Recent form adjustment
BVB1.04×
SGE0.95×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 2.26
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.19
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 2.43/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.98/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.72/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.05/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 2.21 / 1.43 (43 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.04
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.95
- Sample size
- 37 home games, 37 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 17:30
- Prediction generated11 Oct 2026, 14:14
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:42