Back to Matches
AFC Wimbledon
Wycombe Wanderers
League OneLeague
AFC WimbledonVSUpcoming
Wycombe Wanderers24 Oct 2026, 15:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:41
AI recommendation
Under 2.5
64%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 11 Oct 2026, 14:14
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
AWM
1.18
WYC
0.96
Recent form adjustment
AWM1.00×
WYC0.98×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.18
- Away expected goals (model)
- 0.96
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.25/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.40/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.43/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 0.95/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.48 / 1.38 (102 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.00
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.98
- Sample size
- 52 home games, 51 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy42%
Settled predictions1571
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 15:00
- Prediction generated11 Oct 2026, 14:14
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:41